2010. The year we make contact. Or not. Let’s see if I can beat 80% accuracy in this year’s predictions.
- Tablet PCs will continue to be something which almost nobody has heard of or cares about.
- President Obama will continue to be vilified by the Right as some sort of mythical evil being.
- The GOP will make some gains in the 2010 midterm elections.
- The US economy will improve enough that even people who watch Faux News have to admit it, although they will claim it’s improving despite anything that President Obama or the Democrats have done.
- There still won’t be a good crypto system that the public uses, despite ever-increasing threats from man-in-the-middle attacks.
- All the various ebook readers will continue to be incompatible with each other.
- Sarah Palin won’t go away.
- TSA flight restrictions will cause the airline industry to lose money.
- And, of course, the weather will continue to be remarkable, which will still not mean anything to denialists.
- Kat and I will still not fight.
I know, many predictions are just “things won’t change” – but they should change, and I’ll be happy if I’m wrong about them. We’ll see how that goes.
Apple Blue Beer
Eighteen workstations wasn’t enough for the boss, no sirree. I’ve now chalked up 23 workstation installs in the past two weeks. You’d think I was some sort of computer geek or something.
One year ago, I made a series of 10 predictions for the new year. Let’s see how I did.
- The right wing noise machine did find new and interesting ways to make themselves look silly while calling the new president a socialist, a communist, a nazi, and a racist – all at the same time. If President Obama were on fire, the GOP would call fire departments a socialist plot, as John Scalzi wrote this week.
- Windows 7 did not save the computer industry.
- Netbooks were a bit easier to find than I feared, so there’s one point against me. To be fair, the good netbooks were harder to get hold of, so maybe half a point.
- Yep, suck.
- No single sign-on system of any note, although Facebook is getting a lot of headway into “sign in with Facebook” on various sites. Maybe we’ll count this as half and half.
- No crypto.
- DTV changeover was, although delayed yet again until June of 2009, not a crazy display of incompetence and weeping and gnashing of teeth. Got this one wrong.
- Politicians continued to line their pockets by picking ours, and gave as much largesse to their corporate overlords as possible. Sadly, I got this one right.
- Weather was much remarked upon. Denialists continued to deny reality. Climatologists turned out to sometimes be jerks, but that overshadowed that the science continues to be reinforced with evidence.
- Kit dropped me from her “LJ Friends” list after 9 years (no idea why), so I have no idea how amusing she is.
Let’s see, that gives me 6 of 10 completely right, 2 partly right, one completely wrong, and one I can no longer assess, so I can’t use it for any statistics. We’ll call it 7-2 or 78% accurate. I’m sure that beats all the “psychics” out there. Now, what shall I predict for 2010? Stay tuned.
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